In recent years, the US’ rebalancing strategy has achieved remarkable results, which has gained praise from domestic politicians and diplomats. But the implementation of the strategy has started to face challenges and doubts.
The 2016 US presidential election has entered the white-hot phase. It is noteworthy that Donald Trump, who has clinched the Republican presidential nomination, has gained great popularity with his populist ideology. Coincidentally, Bernie Sanders also made gains with his populist stance in the presidential primaries. Despite the differences in the political goals of the two populists, the reasons behind the rise of populism in the US are the same.
After pushing for the South China Sea arbitration ruling and Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) deployment in South Korea, the US finds itself in a dilemma. Facing an unyielding China, if the US decides to confront with toughness, relations between the two countries would get even more volatile and out of hand. The result would not benefit any party. Now, the US must make a concession to defuse the situation.
South Korea has recently agreed with the US to deploy the THAAD anti-ballistic missile system on the Korean peninsula, which China has strongly opposed. The decision has caused tensions between China and South Korea.
China has reiterated its opposition many times against the deployment of the THAAD anti-ballistic missile system in South Korea, but the United States and South Korea have persisted with the deployment and announced the site.
THAAD is not a new topic as it has been in contention since the 1990s. However, when people discuss THAAD, there is always a misunderstanding as to the reach of THAAD. In fact, the reach of THAAD depends on how conspicuous the target is.
In my view, North Korea could not create intercontinental ballistic missiles in foreseeable future. A simple reason is that North Korea has no warhead for such missiles. The United States knows it.
The South China Sea arbitration award turned out to be more unfavorable to China than expected, but it can be seen as both a disadvantage and advantage for China.At least the ruling on Taiping Island was supposed to be just, but it was still ruled as a reef. In the end, however, the South China Sea issue should be solved through negotiation.
An angry passenger reportedly assaulted members of airline staff after she had learnt that her Harbin-bound flight was cancelled after she had already waited for several hours at Nanjing airport. Pictures of the slightly injured staff member, who was later sent to hospital, were circulated on the Internet. The attacker, a mother of two children, was later identified by the police. According to media reports, southern China was hit by storms and therefore many flights had to be canceled.
Confrontations between China and the US in the disputed South China Sea are not likely to devastate the world's most important bilateral relationship, because the two great powers still have common interest at a broader level.